There will be no Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) in the next five years. The definition of AGI varies among individuals, which complicates OpenAI's objectives since developing AGI is central to its mission and crucial for severing ties with investors. OpenAI's charter describes AGI as being superior to humans in economically significant tasks, but this definition lacks clarity on terms like "superior" and "economically important."

Recent negotiations with Microsoft suggest a new benchmark for AGI: an AI that could generate at least $100 billion in profit. Although this goal seems far off, as OpenAI currently reports no profits and generates about $5 billion annually, the phrase "can generate" implies potential rather than certainty. There is no fixed timeline for achieving this benchmark, making it plausible to declare AGI earlier than anticipated, despite the company's plans not to seek profitability until 2029.

According to someone who spoke with Sam Altman regarding the Microsoft discussions, the focus centers on four key issues:

🔹 Microsoft's stake in the new commercial entity

🔹 Whether Microsoft will continue as the exclusive cloud services provider for OpenAI (the latter is somewhat dissatisfied with the pace of growth and is exploring other partnerships)

🔹 The duration of Microsoft's rights to utilize OpenAI's intellectual property in its products

🔹 Whether Microsoft will keep receiving 20% of OpenAI's revenue.